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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Houston wins by over 10.5 points

24h volume
2,061
3,504 lifetime
Open interest
1,995
+1,291 over 7d
Spread
1¢
572 × 546 at the touch
24h range
22¢ – 46¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%−16

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 82¢
24h low 22¢24h high 46¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢volNov 3, 2:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,24826¢
  • ask4,25825¢
  • ask4,07424¢
  • ask3823¢
  • ask1,57621¢
  • ask2,00020¢
  • ask53719¢
  • ask13418¢
spread1¢mid 18¢
  • bid21917¢
  • bid59716¢
  • bid1,50015¢
  • bid1814¢
  • bid6313¢
  • bid2,76012¢
  • bid26011¢
  • bid3,21010¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Houston wins by more than 10.5 points in the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 5:11 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:30 AM UTC
floor
10.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MINHOU-HOU11
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4s ago18¢1bought yes
4s ago18¢1bought yes
9s ago19¢50bought yes
14s ago19¢75bought yes
14s ago19¢97bought yes
14s ago19¢29bought yes
14s ago19¢58bought yes
14s ago20¢5bought no
1m ago25¢74bought yes
1m ago24¢10bought yes
1m ago24¢10bought yes
1m ago24¢10bought yes
1m ago24¢10bought yes
1m ago24¢10bought yes
1m ago24¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.