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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Houston wins by over 10.5 points

24h volume
2,061
4,178 lifetime
Open interest
2,350
Spread
1¢
100 × 94 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%−15

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 80¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00029¢
  • ask1,50528¢
  • ask33626¢
  • ask1,59725¢
  • ask1,09724¢
  • ask15823¢
  • ask50022¢
  • ask13221¢
spread1¢mid 21¢
  • bid60020¢
  • bid1,84019¢
  • bid10018¢
  • bid2017¢
  • bid2,01116¢
  • bid114¢
  • bid2,32213¢
  • bid20.0k12¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Houston wins by more than 10.5 points in the Minnesota vs Houston Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 5:11 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:30 AM UTC
floor
10.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04MINHOU-HOU11
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19s ago20¢1bought no
55s ago19¢58bought yes
55s ago19¢450bought yes
55s ago18¢38bought yes
55s ago18¢96bought yes
55s ago19¢29bought yes
60s ago18¢1bought yes
60s ago18¢1bought yes
1m ago19¢50bought yes
1m ago19¢75bought yes
1m ago19¢97bought yes
1m ago19¢29bought yes
1m ago19¢58bought yes
1m ago20¢5bought no
2m ago25¢74bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.