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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
11.2k
11.4k lifetime
Open interest
9,358
+0 over 90d
Spread
1¢
171 × 237 at the touch
24h range
43¢ – 77¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
74%

A YES contract costs 78¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
26%

costs 23¢

YES bid / ask
77¢ / 78¢
NO bid / ask
22¢ / 23¢
24h low 43¢24h high 77¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask285¢
  • ask10.0k84¢
  • ask7,76183¢
  • ask5,00782¢
  • ask9781¢
  • ask1,59380¢
  • ask2,04979¢
  • ask55978¢
spread1¢mid 78¢
  • bid17177¢
  • bid9376¢
  • bid9375¢
  • bid2,56874¢
  • bid8,00273¢
  • bid4,79472¢
  • bid1,50771¢
  • bid2,00270¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 1.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago75¢95bought no
2m ago74¢76bought no
2m ago77¢1.25bought yes
4m ago69¢1.82bought yes
5m ago67¢3bought yes
5m ago67¢3bought yes
6m ago63¢20bought no
7m ago58¢19bought yes
7m ago58¢476bought yes
8m ago57¢17bought yes
11m ago53¢18bought yes
11m ago48¢1bought no
12m ago51¢100bought yes
12m ago52¢8.4bought yes
12m ago51¢81bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.