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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 7.5 points

24h volume
2,992
3,192 lifetime
Open interest
3,022
+1,931 over 7d
Spread
2¢
1,369 × 2,338 at the touch
24h range
33¢ – 35¢
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
55%+20

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
45%

costs 46¢

YES bid / ask
54¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 46¢
24h low 33¢24h high 35¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢35¢40¢volNov 4, 3:00 AMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00063¢
  • ask1,75062¢
  • ask14.1k61¢
  • ask43860¢
  • ask6,50059¢
  • ask33658¢
  • ask56957¢
  • ask2,33856¢
spread2¢mid 55¢
  • bid1,36954¢
  • bid20053¢
  • bid14652¢
  • bid3,60551¢
  • bid46950¢
  • bid6,25049¢
  • bid5,55048¢
  • bid2,00046¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 7.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
7.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR8
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
48s ago55¢53bought no
2m ago47¢46bought no
3m ago48¢47bought no
3m ago44¢2bought yes
3m ago44¢1bought yes
5m ago36¢75bought yes
5m ago36¢38bought yes
8m ago36¢75bought no
8m ago36¢93bought no
8m ago36¢58bought no
8m ago36¢12bought no
10m ago30¢1bought no
10m ago30¢3bought yes
12m ago27¢1.1bought no
15m ago26¢75bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.