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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Portland wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
10.4k
11.2k lifetime
Open interest
9,529
Spread
1¢
97 × 170 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
63%

A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
37%

costs 37¢

YES bid / ask
63¢ / 64¢
NO bid / ask
36¢ / 37¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask12.3k71¢
  • ask52270¢
  • ask1,55469¢
  • ask10.0k68¢
  • ask2,09567¢
  • ask1,60066¢
  • ask66065¢
  • ask17064¢
spread1¢mid 64¢
  • bid9763¢
  • bid25362¢
  • bid1,10061¢
  • bid3,50160¢
  • bid8,00259¢
  • bid25258¢
  • bid5,68257¢
  • bid756¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Portland wins by more than 1.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-POR2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
59s ago63¢20bought no
1m ago58¢19bought yes
1m ago58¢476bought yes
2m ago57¢17bought yes
5m ago53¢18bought yes
6m ago48¢1bought no
6m ago51¢100bought yes
6m ago52¢8.4bought yes
6m ago51¢81bought yes
6m ago50¢1bought no
7m ago47¢10bought yes
14m ago43¢1bought no
14m ago45¢19bought yes
14m ago45¢300bought yes
14m ago47¢63bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.