NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
3,564
3,564 lifetime
Open interest
3,522
+3,323 over 7d
Spread
3¢
1.52 × 593 at the touch
24h range
33¢ – 36¢
32 recent trades
Chance of YES
35%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
65%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 83¢
24h low 33¢24h high 36¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢30¢35¢40¢volNov 4, 7:00 AMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,74025¢
  • ask224¢
  • ask2723¢
  • ask222¢
  • ask121¢
  • ask50020¢
  • ask7519¢
  • ask9318¢
spread1¢mid 18¢
  • bid1.5217¢
  • bid13816¢
  • bid60015¢
  • bid2,00214¢
  • bid9913¢
  • bid3812¢
  • bid1,50511¢
  • bid82510¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Phoenix wins by more than 3.5 points in the Portland vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04PORPHX-PHX4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 32 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9m ago35¢43bought yes
11m ago39¢16bought no
16m ago44¢2.6bought no
17m ago46¢1bought yes
19m ago46¢97bought no
20m ago44¢1.35bought no
21m ago42¢1bought yes
26m ago39¢1bought yes
28m ago43¢1bought yes
34m ago39¢1bought yes
35m ago40¢75bought no
35m ago39¢1bought yes
36m ago39¢1bought yes
55m ago35¢273bought yes
2h ago34¢7bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.