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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Toronto wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
784
1,066 lifetime
Open interest
829
+451 over 7d
Spread
1¢
628 × 4,677 at the touch
24h range
25¢ – 45¢
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 46¢
NO bid / ask
54¢ / 55¢
24h low 25¢24h high 45¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢25¢30¢35¢volNov 4, 5:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,21754¢
  • ask3,20153¢
  • ask8,33852¢
  • ask7,50051¢
  • ask4,00649¢
  • ask1,68748¢
  • ask2,14447¢
  • ask4,67746¢
spread1¢mid 45¢
  • bid62845¢
  • bid2,13044¢
  • bid16943¢
  • bid1,80042¢
  • bid3,07741¢
  • bid6,00540¢
  • bid3,55039¢
  • bid1,57838¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 4.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago45¢97bought no
2m ago45¢44bought no
3m ago40¢100bought yes
3m ago40¢41bought yes
14m ago33¢95bought yes
15m ago31¢90bought yes
15m ago31¢39bought yes
29m ago34¢3bought no
32m ago40¢1bought yes
37m ago33¢2bought no
38m ago34¢2bought no
39m ago34¢2bought yes
39m ago31¢2bought no
40m ago36¢2bought yes
40m ago34¢89bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.