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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Toronto wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
3,488
4,985 lifetime
Open interest
3,220
Spread
1¢
638 × 2,770 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
35%

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
65%

costs 66¢

YES bid / ask
34¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 66¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 4.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14s ago35¢46bought yes
1m ago37¢63bought no
2m ago38¢63bought yes
2m ago35¢49bought yes
2m ago35¢100bought yes
2m ago35¢500bought yes
2m ago35¢35bought yes
2m ago35¢75bought yes
2m ago33¢497bought yes
3m ago39¢35bought yes
3m ago39¢33bought yes
5m ago40¢75bought yes
5m ago40¢500bought yes
5m ago44¢98bought no
5m ago44¢38bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.