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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Denver wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
104.4k
104.6k lifetime
Open interest
82.3k
Spread
1¢
0.5 × 2,130 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
32%−17

A YES contract costs 30¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
68%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask
29¢ / 30¢
NO bid / ask
70¢ / 71¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,20237¢
  • ask236¢
  • ask5,80235¢
  • ask6,00134¢
  • ask2,00533¢
  • ask2,26532¢
  • ask1,42531¢
  • ask2,13030¢
spread1¢mid 30¢
  • bid0.529¢
  • bid76628¢
  • bid1,44027¢
  • bid4,08326¢
  • bid2.525¢
  • bid6924¢
  • bid7,54023¢
  • bid8,25722¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Denver wins by more than 4.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-DEN5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago32¢0.5bought no
4m ago37¢16bought no
5m ago45¢500bought yes
5m ago45¢49bought yes
7m ago44¢75bought yes
7m ago44¢11bought yes
7m ago44¢1bought yes
9m ago38¢1bought no
9m ago40¢93bought yes
11m ago40¢1bought no
12m ago34¢37bought no
16m ago44¢9bought no
16m ago43¢56bought no
16m ago42¢62bought no
16m ago43¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.