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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Toronto wins by over 8.5 points

24h volume
340
340 lifetime
Open interest
327
Spread
1¢
1,525 × 2,095 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 31¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 70¢

YES bid / ask
30¢ / 31¢
NO bid / ask
69¢ / 70¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,00038¢
  • ask25037¢
  • ask7,55036¢
  • ask3835¢
  • ask1,45534¢
  • ask1,58633¢
  • ask71932¢
  • ask2,09531¢
spread1¢mid 31¢
  • bid1,52530¢
  • bid9329¢
  • bid25028¢
  • bid1,50027¢
  • bid2,52526¢
  • bid5525¢
  • bid7,50024¢
  • bid3,45023¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 8.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
8.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR9
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11m ago20¢91bought yes
11m ago20¢38bought yes
12m ago24¢1bought no
20m ago17¢0.55bought yes
21m ago18¢1bought yes
21m ago22¢80bought no
23m ago17¢98bought yes
29m ago23¢3bought no
32m ago26¢2bought yes
37m ago21¢2bought no
38m ago22¢2bought no
39m ago23¢2bought yes
39m ago19¢2bought no
40m ago25¢2bought yes
42m ago17¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.