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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Toronto wins by over 8.5 points

24h volume
340
515 lifetime
Open interest
464
+464 over 7d
Spread
1¢
90 × 96 at the touch
24h range
16¢ – 29¢
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
29%

A YES contract costs 30¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
71%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask
29¢ / 30¢
NO bid / ask
70¢ / 71¢
24h low 16¢24h high 29¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢volNov 5, 2:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3,01048¢
  • ask247¢
  • ask1,20046¢
  • ask25044¢
  • ask2,00542¢
  • ask4,02540¢
  • ask6,08639¢
  • ask331¢
spread5¢mid 29¢
  • bid10026¢
  • bid10025¢
  • bid1,50024¢
  • bid423¢
  • bid2522¢
  • bid1,54321¢
  • bid21.3k17¢
  • bid3,22215¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 8.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
8.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR9
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19s ago29¢75bought no
19s ago29¢100bought no
17m ago20¢91bought yes
17m ago20¢38bought yes
18m ago24¢1bought no
25m ago17¢0.55bought yes
26m ago18¢1bought yes
27m ago22¢80bought no
28m ago17¢98bought yes
35m ago23¢3bought no
37m ago26¢2bought yes
42m ago21¢2bought no
44m ago22¢2bought no
44m ago23¢2bought yes
44m ago19¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.