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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Toronto wins by over 8.5 points

24h volume
340
911 lifetime
Open interest
625
Spread
2¢
638 × 665 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
26%

A YES contract costs 27¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
74%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 27¢
NO bid / ask
73¢ / 75¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins by more than 8.5 points in the Toronto vs Denver Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
8.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04TORDEN-TOR9
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14s ago26¢32bought yes
14s ago26¢75bought yes
14s ago26¢91bought yes
31s ago25¢98bought no
31s ago26¢100bought no
2m ago29¢75bought no
2m ago29¢100bought no
18m ago20¢91bought yes
18m ago20¢38bought yes
19m ago24¢1bought no
27m ago17¢0.55bought yes
27m ago18¢1bought yes
28m ago22¢80bought no
29m ago17¢98bought yes
36m ago23¢3bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.