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NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will Indiana win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means Indiana

24h volume
6,053
3.01M lifetime
Open interest
2.45M
+284.8k over 7d
Spread
1¢
29.6k × 120.3k at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 9¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 92¢
24h low 8¢24h high 9¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,75316¢
  • ask8415¢
  • ask314¢
  • ask6413¢
  • ask11.3k12¢
  • ask2,69811¢
  • ask182.2k10¢
  • ask120.3k9¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid29.6k8¢
  • bid150.2k7¢
  • bid10.6k6¢
  • bid2,8815¢
  • bid7,0434¢
  • bid5,0733¢
  • bid3,4472¢
  • bid253.0k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Indiana wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-IND
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 137¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
30m ago9¢20bought yes
30m ago9¢32bought yes
1h ago8¢12bought no
3h ago8¢5bought no
4h ago9¢40bought yes
4h ago9¢384bought yes
5h ago8¢587bought no
6h ago9¢52bought yes
6h ago9¢157bought yes
7h ago9¢82bought yes
9h ago9¢209bought yes
9h ago8¢5bought no
10h ago8¢13bought no
10h ago9¢1,045bought yes
10h ago9¢94bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.