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NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will LSU win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means LSU

24h volume
88.5k
5.33M lifetime
Open interest
3.58M
+55.5k over 7d
Spread
1¢
6,149 × 253.9k at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 10¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%+1

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 91¢
24h low 8¢24h high 10¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask78217¢
  • ask59916¢
  • ask6,92915¢
  • ask100.1k14¢
  • ask100.3k13¢
  • ask1,32112¢
  • ask6,32211¢
  • ask253.9k10¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid6,1499¢
  • bid163.8k8¢
  • bid14.0k7¢
  • bid73.9k6¢
  • bid18.8k5¢
  • bid8,2584¢
  • bid20.7k3¢
  • bid11.1k2¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If LSU wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-LSU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 137¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22m ago10¢0.47bought yes
26m ago10¢94bought yes
38m ago10¢282bought yes
2h ago9¢207bought no
2h ago10¢40bought yes
2h ago10¢2.04bought yes
2h ago9¢1,564bought no
2h ago9¢941bought no
3h ago9¢36.2kbought yes
3h ago9¢1bought yes
3h ago9¢50bought yes
3h ago9¢1bought yes
3h ago9¢1,036bought yes
3h ago9¢710bought yes
3h ago9¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.