NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will Ohio St. win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means Ohio St.

24h volume
14.6k
4.04M lifetime
Open interest
2.32M
Spread
1¢
120.0k × 233.7k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 96¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,01312¢
  • ask5,02711¢
  • ask23.9k10¢
  • ask5,5539¢
  • ask5,4848¢
  • ask5,1167¢
  • ask160.5k6¢
  • ask233.7k5¢
spread1¢mid 5¢
  • bid120.0k4¢
  • bid31.5k3¢
  • bid59.6k2¢
  • bid584.8k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ohio St. wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-OSU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 137¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
29m ago4¢272bought no
43m ago5¢188bought yes
44m ago4¢181bought no
2h ago5¢43bought yes
2h ago5¢38bought yes
2h ago4¢7.84bought no
2h ago5¢969bought yes
3h ago4¢20bought no
4h ago5¢19bought yes
5h ago5¢94bought yes
5h ago4¢84bought no
5h ago5¢56bought yes
5h ago4¢22bought no
6h ago5¢3,751bought yes
6h ago5¢30bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.