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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 11.5 points

24h volume
845
845 lifetime
Open interest
808
Spread
5¢
202 × 300 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 97¢
Recent buying13% YES · 87% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00016¢
  • ask1,05015¢
  • ask2014¢
  • ask45012¢
  • ask20011¢
  • ask72210¢
  • ask2009¢
  • ask3008¢
spread5¢mid 5¢
  • bid2023¢
  • bid3022¢
  • bid1,9491¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UMass wins by more than 11.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
11.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS12
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 13% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7m ago5¢0.99bought no
9m ago19¢2.25bought yes
10m ago9¢177bought no
22m ago5¢0.01bought no
49m ago6¢13bought yes
57m ago9¢1bought no
57m ago9¢6bought no
2h ago8¢1bought no
3h ago9¢3bought yes
3h ago12¢0.27bought no
3h ago12¢0.73bought no
3h ago15¢1bought no
3h ago19¢0.5bought no
3h ago19¢0.5bought no
3h ago24¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.