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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 11.5 points

24h volume
852
852 lifetime
Open interest
815
Spread
27¢
0 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
28 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 27¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 27¢
NO bid / ask
73¢ / 100¢
Recent buying13% YES · 87% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask344¢
  • ask239¢
  • ask1,20837¢
  • ask234¢
  • ask25033¢
  • ask129¢
  • ask40428¢
  • ask10027¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If UMass wins by more than 11.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
    floor
    11.5
    ticker
    KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS12
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 28 trades, 13% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    12m ago1¢2bought no
    12m ago1¢1bought no
    14m ago2¢1bought no
    14m ago3¢2bought no
    14m ago2¢1bought no
    24m ago5¢0.99bought no
    27m ago19¢2.25bought yes
    27m ago9¢177bought no
    40m ago5¢0.01bought no
    1h ago6¢13bought yes
    1h ago9¢1bought no
    1h ago9¢6bought no
    3h ago8¢1bought no
    3h ago9¢3bought yes
    3h ago12¢0.27bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.