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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 1.5 points

24h volume
123.4k
124.7k lifetime
Open interest
77.4k
+78.4k over 7d
Spread
9¢
25 × 1 at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 75¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%

A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 64¢
NO bid / ask
36¢ / 45¢
24h low 26¢24h high 75¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢volNov 4, 11:00 AMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00079¢
  • ask1,95978¢
  • ask76377¢
  • ask20476¢
  • ask25375¢
  • ask20170¢
  • ask2669¢
  • ask164¢
spread9¢mid 60¢
  • bid2555¢
  • bid3054¢
  • bid2053¢
  • bid2051¢
  • bid10650¢
  • bid24749¢
  • bid2047¢
  • bid2143¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UMass wins by more than 1.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
54s ago58¢50bought no
2m ago61¢0.31bought yes
2m ago63¢31bought yes
2m ago66¢0.1bought no
5m ago66¢841bought no
5m ago66¢164bought no
5m ago66¢59bought no
7m ago71¢151bought no
7m ago71¢1bought no
8m ago72¢2.34bought yes
9m ago70¢32bought no
10m ago70¢77bought yes
13m ago70¢35bought yes
14m ago70¢2.25bought yes
16m ago70¢0.02bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.