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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 3.5 points

24h volume
550.5k
566.2k lifetime
Open interest
398.1k
+394.7k over 24h
Spread
13¢
19 × 17 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
39%−8

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
61%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 39¢
NO bid / ask
61¢ / 74¢
24h low 12¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying21% YES · 79% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volNov 4, 3:17 AMNov 5, 3:16 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00746¢
  • ask35845¢
  • ask46643¢
  • ask21042¢
  • ask1541¢
  • ask6.4339¢
  • ask44038¢
  • ask23837¢
spread8¢mid 33¢
  • bid4729¢
  • bid8828¢
  • bid11925¢
  • bid4824¢
  • bid55423¢
  • bid2522¢
  • bid3421¢
  • bid42720¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UMass wins by more than 3.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 21% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3s ago39¢9.66bought yes
7s ago39¢0.91bought yes
9s ago39¢2.37bought yes
9s ago38¢6bought yes
18s ago27¢45bought no
18s ago27¢2bought no
31s ago35¢1.16bought yes
31s ago28¢23bought yes
31s ago36¢9bought yes
35s ago24¢20bought no
35s ago24¢110bought no
35s ago29¢85bought no
35s ago29¢1bought no
35s ago27¢2bought no
35s ago26¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.