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College Football Spread·closes in 5d

Duke wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
816
8,890 lifetime
Open interest
8,201
Spread
1¢
5,087 × 10.8k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%+1

A YES contract costs 50¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 51¢

YES bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
NO bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask157¢
  • ask2556¢
  • ask16255¢
  • ask18.6k54¢
  • ask27.9k53¢
  • ask15.7k52¢
  • ask15.7k51¢
  • ask10.8k50¢
spread1¢mid 50¢
  • bid5,08749¢
  • bid36.4k48¢
  • bid43.0k47¢
  • bid50.1k46¢
  • bid4,77245¢
  • bid6844¢
  • bid2543¢
  • bid5142¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Duke wins by more than 4.5 points in the Duke vs NC St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 8:07 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 5:30 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 8:30 PM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV07DUKENCST-DUKE5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago50¢0.01bought yes
1h ago50¢3.82bought yes
2h ago49¢9.47bought no
2h ago49¢19bought no
3h ago50¢21bought yes
4h ago49¢50bought no
4h ago49¢49bought no
4h ago49¢0.65bought no
4h ago50¢97bought yes
7h ago49¢10bought no
9h ago50¢9.66bought yes
9h ago49¢271bought no
9h ago49¢42bought no
9h ago49¢3.99bought no
9h ago49¢1.11bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.