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College Football Spread·closes in 5d

Duke wins by over 5.5 points

24h volume
53
3,408 lifetime
Open interest
3,278
Spread
1¢
4,653 × 1,680 at the touch
24h range
–
49 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%+1

A YES contract costs 47¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 54¢

YES bid / ask
46¢ / 47¢
NO bid / ask
53¢ / 54¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask154¢
  • ask33053¢
  • ask9,15452¢
  • ask13.3k51¢
  • ask4,85050¢
  • ask8,53249¢
  • ask4,96248¢
  • ask1,68047¢
spread1¢mid 47¢
  • bid4,65346¢
  • bid24.1k45¢
  • bid39.7k44¢
  • bid8,19043¢
  • bid2,39942¢
  • bid7341¢
  • bid11639¢
  • bid12537¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Duke wins by more than 5.5 points in the Duke vs NC St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 8:07 AM UTC
closes
Nov 9 · 5:30 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7 · 8:30 PM UTC
floor
5.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV07DUKENCST-DUKE6
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 49 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago46¢35bought no
12h ago46¢18bought no
2d ago46¢6bought no
2d ago45¢3.51bought no
2d ago45¢2bought no
3d ago47¢51bought yes
3d ago47¢16bought yes
3d ago47¢5bought yes
3d ago47¢1bought yes
3d ago45¢25bought no
3d ago44¢452bought no
3d ago45¢50bought no
3d ago46¢49bought no
3d ago46¢114bought no
3d ago47¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.