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Men's College Basketball Game·closes in 3d

Bellarmine wins

YES means Bellarmine

24h volume
4,167
5,488 lifetime
Open interest
5,162
+1,142 over 90d
Spread
1¢
3 × 190.5k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 3, 5:00 AMNov 4, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5509¢
  • ask308¢
  • ask4007¢
  • ask1966¢
  • ask54.8k5¢
  • ask31.5k4¢
  • ask7,6683¢
  • ask190.5k2¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid31¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Bellarmine wins the Bellarmine vs Indiana men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 11:22 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 2:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAMBGAME-26NOV05BELLIND-BELL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago2¢25bought yes
37m ago2¢14bought yes
37m ago2¢31bought yes
37m ago2¢1bought yes
38m ago2¢47bought yes
46m ago2¢2.33bought yes
3h ago2¢47bought yes
3h ago2¢47bought yes
4h ago2¢47bought yes
5h ago2¢94bought yes
5h ago2¢94bought yes
6h ago2¢47bought yes
6h ago2¢47bought yes
6h ago2¢94bought yes
8h ago2¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.