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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Saint Mary's wins by over 19.5 points

24h volume
14.1k
14.1k lifetime
Open interest
10.6k
+10.6k over 24h
Spread
9¢
3 × 8.37 at the touch
24h range
25¢ – 89¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
89%

A YES contract costs 90¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
11%

costs 19¢

YES bid / ask
81¢ / 90¢
NO bid / ask
10¢ / 19¢
24h low 25¢24h high 89¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volNov 4, 7:00 AMNov 5, 4:17 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask197¢
  • ask35596¢
  • ask6495¢
  • ask5894¢
  • ask2093¢
  • ask5992¢
  • ask12791¢
  • ask8.3790¢
spread5¢mid 88¢
  • bid185¢
  • bid6081¢
  • bid1580¢
  • bid25078¢
  • bid6077¢
  • bid6476¢
  • bid5,05769¢
  • bid5068¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Saint Mary's wins by more than 19.5 points in the North Dakota St. vs Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
19.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NDSUSMC-SMC20
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago87¢1bought yes
2m ago89¢21bought yes
2m ago87¢0.83bought yes
2m ago87¢0.17bought yes
3m ago80¢1bought yes
11m ago79¢1bought yes
11m ago79¢7bought yes
11m ago78¢15bought yes
11m ago76¢1bought yes
11m ago76¢1bought yes
11m ago72¢5bought yes
12m ago70¢25bought yes
12m ago71¢2.2bought yes
12m ago70¢39bought yes
12m ago70¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.