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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Saint Mary's wins by over 29.5 points

24h volume
2,264
2,793 lifetime
Open interest
2,649
+2,649 over 24h
Spread
14¢
2 × 3 at the touch
24h range
24¢ – 56¢
32 recent trades
Chance of YES
41%

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
59%

costs 58¢

YES bid / ask
42¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 58¢
24h low 24¢24h high 56¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volNov 5, 3:33 AMNov 5, 4:13 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10366¢
  • ask8565¢
  • ask164¢
  • ask163¢
  • ask8,67959¢
  • ask15458¢
  • ask19657¢
  • ask356¢
spread14¢mid 49¢
  • bid242¢
  • bid26441¢
  • bid8,40940¢
  • bid80039¢
  • bid26536¢
  • bid9234¢
  • bid4633¢
  • bid4632¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Saint Mary's wins by more than 29.5 points in the North Dakota St. vs Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
29.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NDSUSMC-SMC30
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 32 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago41¢37bought no
2m ago41¢3bought no
2m ago52¢4bought yes
2m ago52¢1bought yes
2m ago55¢1bought yes
2m ago55¢99bought yes
2m ago56¢100bought yes
2m ago56¢284bought yes
3m ago49¢80bought yes
3m ago49¢5bought yes
3m ago50¢14bought yes
3m ago49¢98bought yes
4m ago51¢195bought no
4m ago52¢2bought no
5m ago53¢46bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.