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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Saint Mary's wins by over 5.5 points

24h volume
1,603
1,844 lifetime
Open interest
1,801
+1,801 over 24h
Spread
10¢
250 × 225 at the touch
24h range
72¢ – 99¢
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 11¢

YES bid / ask
89¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 11¢
24h low 72¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying81% YES · 19% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volNov 4, 5:34 PMNov 5, 4:07 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask22599¢
spread10¢mid 94¢
  • bid25089¢
  • bid3079¢
  • bid176¢
  • bid10175¢
  • bid14074¢
  • bid1,22872¢
  • bid269¢
  • bid24765¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Saint Mary's wins by more than 5.5 points in the North Dakota St. vs Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
5.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NDSUSMC-SMC6
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago99¢9.08bought yes
1m ago99¢10bought yes
1m ago99¢10bought yes
2m ago98¢63bought yes
2m ago98¢1bought yes
2m ago98¢70bought yes
5m ago73¢78bought no
23m ago97¢35bought yes
23m ago97¢56bought yes
26m ago96¢100bought yes
26m ago96¢100bought yes
26m ago96¢50bought yes
27m ago96¢100bought yes
27m ago96¢5bought yes
28m ago93¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.