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Men's College Basketball Spread·closed · YES

Northern Kentucky wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
111.9k
113.2k lifetime
Open interest
81.6k
+0 over 90d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
49¢ – 51¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%+48

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 49¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying27% YES · 73% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Northern Kentucky wins by more than 2.5 points in the Northern Kentucky vs South Dakota men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:13 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NKUSDAK-NKU3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 27% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago99¢222bought no
1h ago99¢188bought no
1h ago99¢100bought no
1h ago99¢566bought no
1h ago99¢66bought no
1h ago99¢246bought no
1h ago99¢6bought yes
1h ago99¢97bought yes
1h ago99¢10bought yes
1h ago99¢11bought yes
1h ago98¢63bought yes
1h ago98¢10bought yes
1h ago99¢36bought yes
1h ago99¢8.09bought yes
1h ago99¢52bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.