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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

California wins by over 12.5 points

24h volume
8,841
9,030 lifetime
Open interest
5,812
Spread
3¢
112 × 112 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
65%

A YES contract costs 55¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
35%

costs 48¢

YES bid / ask
52¢ / 55¢
NO bid / ask
45¢ / 48¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,01568¢
  • ask165¢
  • ask9,09863¢
  • ask2562¢
  • ask25060¢
  • ask34557¢
  • ask3,77056¢
  • ask11255¢
spread3¢mid 54¢
  • bid11252¢
  • bid1,84351¢
  • bid11250¢
  • bid2,00048¢
  • bid6,95646¢
  • bid1,07545¢
  • bid143¢
  • bid1,00041¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If California wins by more than 12.5 points in the Radford vs California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
12.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04RADCAL-CAL13
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4s ago56¢236bought yes
4s ago55¢112bought yes
1m ago65¢129bought yes
2m ago64¢22bought yes
4m ago62¢16bought yes
4m ago57¢22bought no
8m ago63¢17bought yes
9m ago62¢1,218bought yes
21m ago60¢187bought yes
29m ago52¢514bought yes
29m ago52¢514bought yes
29m ago51¢523bought yes
30m ago51¢9.47bought yes
30m ago50¢266bought no
30m ago50¢409bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.