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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

California wins by over 18.5 points

24h volume
5,400
6,686 lifetime
Open interest
6,293
Spread
6¢
1,001 × 2,516 at the touch
24h range
–
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%

A YES contract costs 33¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 73¢

YES bid / ask
27¢ / 33¢
NO bid / ask
67¢ / 73¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5055¢
  • ask144¢
  • ask1,00042¢
  • ask80041¢
  • ask5,33340¢
  • ask27538¢
  • ask1,00034¢
  • ask2,51633¢
spread6¢mid 30¢
  • bid1,00127¢
  • bid2,37626¢
  • bid2523¢
  • bid14.5k22¢
  • bid80521¢
  • bid1,00017¢
  • bid5716¢
  • bid16615¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If California wins by more than 18.5 points in the Radford vs California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
18.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04RADCAL-CAL19
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago43¢175bought yes
2m ago44¢922bought yes
6m ago36¢35bought yes
6m ago35¢153bought yes
26m ago34¢2bought yes
42m ago49¢10bought yes
43m ago44¢52bought no
50m ago49¢188bought no
1h ago42¢15bought no
1h ago42¢27bought no
1h ago47¢1bought yes
1h ago46¢13bought yes
1h ago43¢58bought no
1h ago49¢224bought yes
1h ago49¢80bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.