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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

California wins by over 8.5 points

24h volume
337
337 lifetime
Open interest
337
+337 over 24h
Spread
7¢
1,000 × 3,400 at the touch
24h range
77¢ – 81¢
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
81%

A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
19%

costs 32¢

YES bid / ask
68¢ / 75¢
NO bid / ask
25¢ / 32¢
24h low 77¢24h high 81¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢volNov 4, 4:26 PMNov 5, 3:09 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2093¢
  • ask14092¢
  • ask1,00089¢
  • ask187¢
  • ask25085¢
  • ask1584¢
  • ask16.8k81¢
  • ask1,40076¢
spread10¢mid 71¢
  • bid1,00066¢
  • bid4,92365¢
  • bid161¢
  • bid1559¢
  • bid25155¢
  • bid5054¢
  • bid1,00550¢
  • bid14046¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If California wins by more than 8.5 points in the Radford vs California men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 2:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 2:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
8.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04RADCAL-CAL9
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
48m ago81¢1.21bought yes
1h ago77¢92bought yes
1h ago77¢32bought yes
2h ago77¢0.12bought yes
3h ago78¢0.63bought yes
6h ago78¢19bought yes
9h ago79¢116bought yes
9h ago78¢1bought yes
9h ago78¢69bought yes
11h ago78¢6.31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.