Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Duke wins by over 37.5 points

24h volume
222
222 lifetime
Open interest
222
+222 over 7d
Spread
6¢
37 × 29 at the touch
24h range
47¢ – 60¢
44 recent trades
Chance of YES
60%

A YES contract costs 59¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
40%

costs 47¢

YES bid / ask
53¢ / 59¢
NO bid / ask
41¢ / 47¢
24h low 47¢24h high 60¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢50¢60¢volNov 5, 3:00 AMNov 5, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1067¢
  • ask5666¢
  • ask1065¢
  • ask3363¢
  • ask2462¢
  • ask29461¢
  • ask12460¢
  • ask2959¢
spread6¢mid 56¢
  • bid3753¢
  • bid25252¢
  • bid1951¢
  • bid47250¢
  • bid149¢
  • bid147¢
  • bid1,23346¢
  • bid145¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Duke wins by more than 37.5 points in the Coastal Carolina vs Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Nov 4 · 11:08 PM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
37.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05CCARDUKE-DUKE38
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 44 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
37m ago60¢6.48bought yes
3h ago48¢4bought yes
3h ago49¢6.87bought yes
3h ago48¢0.59bought yes
3h ago48¢5.41bought yes
3h ago49¢1.41bought yes
3h ago48¢4bought yes
3h ago49¢1.76bought yes
3h ago48¢5bought yes
3h ago49¢17bought yes
3h ago49¢2bought yes
3h ago47¢1bought yes
3h ago48¢12bought yes
3h ago48¢2bought yes
3h ago47¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.