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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Duke wins by over 40.5 points

24h volume
411
447 lifetime
Open interest
447
Spread
1¢
2,205 × 157 at the touch
24h range
–
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
47%

A YES contract costs 48¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
53%

costs 53¢

YES bid / ask
47¢ / 48¢
NO bid / ask
52¢ / 53¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1757¢
  • ask1,33656¢
  • ask4,53955¢
  • ask24954¢
  • ask1353¢
  • ask1,31352¢
  • ask1,00051¢
  • ask15748¢
spread1¢mid 48¢
  • bid2,20547¢
  • bid9346¢
  • bid1,61245¢
  • bid1,62744¢
  • bid1043¢
  • bid2.3942¢
  • bid19841¢
  • bid23240¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Duke wins by more than 40.5 points in the Coastal Carolina vs Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 11:08 PM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
40.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05CCARDUKE-DUKE41
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2m ago47¢37bought no
10m ago48¢7.44bought yes
10m ago48¢43bought yes
38m ago48¢2.01bought yes
1h ago48¢4bought yes
1h ago48¢111bought yes
3h ago48¢67bought no
3h ago48¢2bought no
3h ago48¢2bought no
3h ago48¢2bought no
3h ago48¢2bought no
4h ago49¢59bought yes
5h ago47¢102bought no
6h ago47¢7.58bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.