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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 3d

Arizona wins by over 30.5 points

24h volume
131
131 lifetime
Open interest
77
Spread
3¢
2,675 × 2,006 at the touch
24h range
49¢ – 52¢
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
52%

A YES contract costs 52¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
48%

costs 51¢

YES bid / ask
49¢ / 52¢
NO bid / ask
48¢ / 51¢
24h low 49¢24h high 52¢
Recent buying59% YES · 41% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask22566¢
  • ask6162¢
  • ask2560¢
  • ask4656¢
  • ask1,61755¢
  • ask8,98554¢
  • ask1,12753¢
  • ask2,00652¢
spread3¢mid 51¢
  • bid2,67549¢
  • bid8,61648¢
  • bid3947¢
  • bid5646¢
  • bid11045¢
  • bid2540¢
  • bid139¢
  • bid5036¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 30.5 points in the Cal Poly vs Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 11:11 PM UTC
closes
Nov 8 · 3:30 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 6 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
30.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV05CPARIZ-ARIZ31
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
32m ago52¢9.3bought yes
1h ago52¢9.3bought yes
1h ago49¢47bought no
2h ago52¢6.51bought yes
2h ago52¢52bought yes
2h ago49¢7.35bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.