New federal city·closes in 28mo

Will Trump aprpove a new city on federal land?

YES means Before 2029

24h volume: 0; 5,699 lifetime
Open interest: 2,144; +0 over 7d
Spread: 23¢; 6 × 1 at the touch
24h range: –; 6 recent trades

Chance of YES

40%

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

60%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask

16¢ / 39¢

NO bid / ask

61¢ / 84¢

Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask40289¢
ask1,39086¢
ask1,06783¢
ask26876¢
ask3472¢
ask5471¢
ask20040¢
ask139¢

spread23¢mid 28¢

bid616¢
bid513¢
bid110¢
bid285¢
bid2425¢
bid3,5564¢
bid603¢
bid11.9k3¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a new city is created or chartered on federal land after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

opened: Dec 20, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXNEWCITY-29

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
20d ago	40¢	7.11	bought yes
20d ago	39¢	5.89	bought yes
30d ago	39¢	5.56	bought yes
30d ago	39¢	1.44	bought yes
2mo ago	32¢	2	bought no
2mo ago	32¢	2	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.