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Goldman Sachs new CEO ·closes in 111mo

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

YES means John Waldron

24h volume
17
2,674 lifetime
Open interest
623
+342 over 90d
Spread
6¢
6 × 5 at the touch
24h range
84¢ – 84¢
42 recent trades
Chance of YES
84%

A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
16%

costs 22¢

YES bid / ask
78¢ / 84¢
NO bid / ask
16¢ / 22¢
24h low 84¢24h high 84¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 7Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask43398¢
  • ask4797¢
  • ask1396¢
  • ask20085¢
  • ask584¢
spread6¢mid 81¢
  • bid678¢
  • bid20077¢
  • bid6.0164¢
  • bid1340¢
  • bid4538¢
  • bid1530¢
  • bid43529¢
  • bid50028¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If John Waldron is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as CEO for Goldman Sachs before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2035 · 10:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEWROLEGS-35DEC-JWA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 42 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago84¢17bought yes
8d ago75¢1bought yes
8d ago84¢9.4bought yes
8d ago75¢15bought yes
21d ago74¢149bought no
21d ago79¢5bought no
21d ago79¢154bought no
21d ago82¢176bought yes
21d ago78¢5bought yes
21d ago77¢5bought yes
21d ago78¢121bought yes
23d ago76¢189bought no
23d ago78¢5bought no
23d ago78¢5bought no
29d ago81¢183bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.