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SCOTUS confirmations·closes in 28mo

Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?

YES means 0

24h volume
351
42.5k lifetime
Open interest
15.6k
Spread
2¢
10 × 10 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%−32

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 68¢

YES bid / ask
32¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 68¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8359¢
  • ask3558¢
  • ask2254¢
  • ask20038¢
  • ask2537¢
  • ask536¢
  • ask535¢
  • ask1034¢
spread2¢mid 33¢
  • bid1032¢
  • bid531¢
  • bid530¢
  • bid1529¢
  • bid20028¢
  • bid7413¢
  • bid8412¢
  • bid67110¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If 0 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
0
cap
0
ticker
KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 77¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago13¢71bought no
4h ago32¢4.93bought no
4h ago12¢25bought no
4h ago31¢200bought no
4h ago32¢18bought no
4h ago22¢13bought no
10h ago44¢9.3bought yes
10h ago59¢9.45bought yes
1d ago44¢0.02bought yes
1d ago44¢1.71bought yes
1d ago43¢1bought yes
2d ago44¢14bought yes
2d ago41¢200bought yes
2d ago41¢19bought yes
2d ago41¢41bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.