Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
YES means Steve Feinberg
- 24h volume
- 0
- 899 lifetime
- Open interest
- 842
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 7¢
- 250 × 1,903 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 2 recent trades
A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2,24584¢
- ask4183¢
- ask23572¢
- ask1,47956¢
- ask1355¢
- ask44253¢
- ask1,45352¢
- ask1,9038¢
- bid2502¢
- bid51¢
- bid2100¢
- bid1,0000¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is Steve Feinberg, then the market resolves to Yes.
Acting and Interim positions don't count.
- opened
- Apr 1, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXNEXTDEF-29-SFEI
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 106¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 2 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo ago | 8¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 3 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.