Next Labor Sec·closes in 28mo

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?

YES means Andrew Puzder

24h volume
0
5,863 lifetime
Open interest
3,137
Spread
21¢
100 × 5 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/ 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 99¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5152¢
  • ask2545¢
  • ask1638¢
  • ask2035¢
  • ask2330¢
  • ask1525¢
  • ask1223¢
  • ask522¢
spread21¢mid 12¢
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Andrew Puzder before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.

opened
Apr 20 · 9:34 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTLABORSEC-29-APUZ
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 119¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago100bought no
7d ago5.55bought no
24d ago5bought yes
24d ago233bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.