Next Labor Sec·closes in 28mo

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?

YES means Ron DeSantis

24h volume: 0; 723 lifetime
Open interest: 723; +236 over 90d
Spread: 2¢; 0 × 50 at the touch
24h range: –; 2 recent trades

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask

0¢ / 2¢

NO bid / ask

98¢ / 100¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5099¢
ask12482¢
ask4981¢
ask3252¢
ask7043¢
ask4942¢
ask502¢

spread–mid –

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Ron DeSantis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.

Settlement sources

opened: Apr 21 · 7:30 PM UTC
closes: Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXNEXTLABORSEC-29-RDES

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 119¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
2mo ago	2¢	231	bought yes
2mo ago	1¢	5	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.