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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Maria Bartiromo

24h volume
17.7k
1.13M lifetime
Open interest
444.3k
+431.9k over 30d
Spread
2¢
1,182 × 99 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 12¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%+3

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 92¢
24h low 6¢24h high 12¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 3Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,28017¢
  • ask32416¢
  • ask2,53415¢
  • ask5,52414¢
  • ask3,93013¢
  • ask2,06712¢
  • ask2,06111¢
  • ask9910¢
spread2¢mid 9¢
  • bid1,1828¢
  • bid1397¢
  • bid1,8336¢
  • bid3275¢
  • bid1,2924¢
  • bid2,3413¢
  • bid5,0812¢
  • bid29.4k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Maria Bartiromo, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 5:20 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-MBAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 113¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
59m ago8¢20bought no
59m ago9¢14bought no
59m ago9¢43bought no
59m ago9¢5bought no
59m ago9¢39bought no
1h ago11¢9.41bought yes
1h ago10¢10bought yes
1h ago10¢41bought yes
3h ago10¢5.46bought yes
3h ago10¢3.94bought yes
3h ago10¢17bought yes
3h ago10¢11bought yes
3h ago9¢5.46bought no
3h ago9¢25bought no
3h ago9¢27bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.