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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Monica Crowley

24h volume
0
78.4k lifetime
Open interest
68.0k
+67.8k over 90d
Spread
2¢
0 × 833 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,06912¢
  • ask39¢
  • ask198¢
  • ask27¢
  • ask1,2226¢
  • ask1,5554¢
  • ask8483¢
  • ask8332¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Monica Crowley, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Aug 13 · 9:15 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-MCRO
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 113¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2d ago1¢2.2bought no
    3d ago1¢32bought no
    3d ago1¢98bought no
    3d ago1¢68bought no
    3d ago1¢100bought no
    3d ago1¢432bought no
    3d ago1¢5bought no
    3d ago4¢23bought yes
    3d ago3¢10bought yes
    3d ago5¢13bought yes
    3d ago1¢63bought no
    3d ago2¢15bought no
    3d ago2¢16bought no
    3d ago2¢2bought yes
    3d ago2¢10bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.