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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Margo Martin

24h volume
1,169
251.3k lifetime
Open interest
123.0k
+80.3k over 30d
Spread
2¢
526 × 755 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%+1

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
24h low 4¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask60813¢
  • ask5.0612¢
  • ask5,00011¢
  • ask37810¢
  • ask1,0349¢
  • ask3058¢
  • ask5117¢
  • ask7556¢
spread2¢mid 5¢
  • bid5264¢
  • bid1,1843¢
  • bid2,7122¢
  • bid18.5k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Margo Martin, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 17 · 4:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-MMAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 110¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago5¢100bought yes
3h ago5¢10bought yes
3h ago5¢10bought yes
3h ago6¢166bought yes
12h ago4¢123bought no
14h ago7¢6.7bought yes
15h ago7¢67bought yes
24h ago6¢41bought yes
24h ago6¢33bought yes
24h ago6¢155bought yes
24h ago7¢224bought yes
24h ago6¢19bought yes
24h ago5¢0.08bought yes
24h ago5¢61bought yes
24h ago5¢153bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.