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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Rachel Campos-Duffy

24h volume
0
82.7k lifetime
Open interest
65.9k
+0 over 24h
Spread
1¢
0 × 2,984 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask43811¢
  • ask1228¢
  • ask2437¢
  • ask1226¢
  • ask3105¢
  • ask1,3253¢
  • ask7472¢
  • ask2,9841¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Rachel Campos-Duffy, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Aug 12 · 8:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-RCAM
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 111¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    1d ago1¢0.93bought yes
    2d ago1¢358bought yes
    3d ago2¢47bought yes
    3d ago2¢0.93bought yes
    3d ago2¢9.71bought yes
    3d ago2¢1bought yes
    3d ago2¢82bought yes
    6d ago1¢1bought no
    7d ago2¢14bought yes
    7d ago2¢4.03bought yes
    7d ago2¢10bought yes
    7d ago2¢100bought yes
    7d ago2¢1bought yes
    8d ago2¢1bought yes
    8d ago3¢30bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.