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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Roma Daravi be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Roma Daravi

24h volume
12.7k
217.3k lifetime
Open interest
131.3k
+129.1k over 90d
Spread
2¢
602 × 79 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 8¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%−2

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 95¢
24h low 3¢24h high 8¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volAug 13Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask22214¢
  • ask66613¢
  • ask1,27012¢
  • ask2,12711¢
  • ask1,35810¢
  • ask7379¢
  • ask3,0448¢
  • ask1207¢
spread2¢mid 6¢
  • bid6435¢
  • bid5394¢
  • bid7043¢
  • bid2,2112¢
  • bid14.7k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Roma Daravi, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 12 · 8:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-RDAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 114¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12m ago6¢16bought no
40m ago6¢4.96bought yes
40m ago5¢5.65bought yes
40m ago7¢122bought yes
40m ago6¢122bought yes
40m ago7¢667bought yes
40m ago7¢134bought yes
40m ago6¢11bought yes
40m ago5¢25bought yes
40m ago7¢15bought yes
40m ago8¢511bought yes
40m ago6¢408bought yes
4h ago4¢38bought no
4h ago4¢10bought yes
4h ago4¢1.16bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.