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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Scott Jennings

24h volume
12.3k
842.7k lifetime
Open interest
375.5k
Spread
1¢
83 × 55 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask54924¢
  • ask6,50023¢
  • ask1,54622¢
  • ask55021¢
  • ask1,50120¢
  • ask3,50019¢
  • ask2,01518¢
  • ask5517¢
spread1¢mid 17¢
  • bid8316¢
  • bid43715¢
  • bid19614¢
  • bid1,93613¢
  • bid2,26512¢
  • bid22511¢
  • bid13610¢
  • bid4.839¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Scott Jennings, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 30 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SJEN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 116¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19s ago17¢0.21bought yes
2m ago17¢1.38bought yes
4m ago17¢5.55bought yes
10m ago17¢28bought yes
29m ago17¢3.76bought yes
29m ago17¢7.35bought yes
48m ago17¢1.84bought yes
48m ago17¢2bought yes
48m ago17¢1.71bought yes
52m ago16¢0.9bought no
52m ago16¢2.28bought no
52m ago16¢22bought no
52m ago16¢6.44bought no
52m ago16¢66bought no
2h ago17¢0.12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.