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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Spencer Pratt

24h volume
0
92.4k lifetime
Open interest
73.2k
Spread
1¢
0 × 43.3k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask617¢
  • ask2.0316¢
  • ask46710¢
  • ask217¢
  • ask4024¢
  • ask6673¢
  • ask1702¢
  • ask43.3k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Spencer Pratt, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Aug 12 · 8:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SPRA
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 109¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    3d ago1¢666bought yes
    3d ago1¢187bought yes
    7d ago1¢19bought yes
    7d ago1¢19bought yes
    8d ago1¢94bought yes
    8d ago1¢491bought yes
    8d ago1¢911bought yes
    11d ago1¢468bought yes
    12d ago1¢333bought yes
    15d ago1¢94bought yes
    17d ago1¢0.93bought yes
    17d ago1¢94bought yes
    18d ago1¢521bought yes
    18d ago1¢100bought yes
    18d ago1¢4,000bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.