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Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·closes in 28mo

Will Sage Steele be the next White House Press Secretary of United States?

YES means Sage Steele

24h volume
94
118.0k lifetime
Open interest
85.4k
Spread
1¢
200 × 671 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%+1

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask692¢
  • ask1,0122¢
  • ask8432¢
  • ask1222¢
  • ask1302¢
  • ask1221¢
  • ask3261¢
  • ask6711¢
spread1¢mid 1¢
  • bid2000¢
  • bid6010¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Sage Steele, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on who first begins serving as White House Press Secretary, not who is nominated or announced for the role. Acting or interim service counts. If the person serving as White House Press Secretary at Issuance remains in the position through the expiration date, all markets referring to a person resolve to No, and “No new person” resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 30 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SSTE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 113¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10h ago1¢94bought yes
3d ago0¢311bought no
3d ago1¢75bought yes
3d ago1¢19bought yes
3d ago0¢500bought no
4d ago0¢75bought no
4d ago0¢16bought no
4d ago0¢28bought no
4d ago0¢381bought no
4d ago2¢5.29bought yes
4d ago2¢31bought yes
4d ago1¢2,101bought yes
4d ago1¢299bought yes
4d ago1¢66bought yes
4d ago1¢444bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.