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Who will be the world's second trillionaire?·closes in 75mo

Will Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?

YES means Jeff Bezos

24h volume
0
6,953 lifetime
Open interest
1,919
Spread
2¢
12 × 106 at the touch
24h range
–
47 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 80¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6.2645¢
  • ask11144¢
  • ask36830¢
  • ask17629¢
  • ask25626¢
  • ask10024¢
  • ask31823¢
  • ask10622¢
spread2¢mid 21¢
  • bid1220¢
  • bid2319¢
  • bid9618¢
  • bid3817¢
  • bid20016¢
  • bid25912¢
  • bid6511¢
  • bid476¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Forbes reports that Jeff Bezos has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-JB
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 47 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago19¢0.68bought no
2d ago19¢0.99bought no
2d ago19¢107bought no
2d ago19¢1.16bought no
2d ago22¢4.27bought yes
3d ago23¢4.12bought yes
3d ago23¢7.69bought yes
4d ago23¢20bought yes
5d ago23¢2bought yes
5d ago23¢4.08bought yes
8d ago23¢5.02bought yes
8d ago22¢4.47bought yes
8d ago22¢100bought yes
14d ago23¢151bought yes
14d ago21¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.