galdor.xyz
Admin
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?·closes in 76mo

Will Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?

YES means Jeff Bezos

24h volume
0
5,395 lifetime
Open interest
1,997
+234 over 30d
Spread
10¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 93¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,56363¢
  • ask40050¢
  • ask5049¢
  • ask6.2645¢
  • ask36830¢
  • ask73920¢
  • ask10018¢
  • ask20017¢
spread10¢mid 12¢
  • bid57¢
  • bid116¢
  • bid5005¢
  • bid5173¢
  • bid1522¢
  • bid3,5001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Forbes reports that Jeff Bezos has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-JB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 77¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago16¢1bought no
2d ago19¢0.04bought yes
2d ago20¢11bought yes
2d ago18¢195bought yes
2d ago16¢200bought yes
2d ago15¢5bought yes
2d ago19¢50bought yes
2d ago19¢50bought yes
2d ago15¢5bought yes
7d ago18¢5.22bought yes
13d ago8¢56bought yes
13d ago8¢44bought yes
15d ago15¢94bought yes
15d ago19¢25bought yes
1mo ago15¢6.26bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.