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Who will be the world's second trillionaire?·closes in 76mo

Will Larry Page be the world's second trillionaire?

YES means Larry Page

24h volume
0
7,084 lifetime
Open interest
3,118
−1 over 7d
Spread
3¢
105 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
35 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 87¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask59873¢
  • ask5049¢
  • ask3442¢
  • ask2833¢
  • ask1,23020¢
  • ask10019¢
  • ask20018¢
  • ask20016¢
spread3¢mid 15¢
  • bid10513¢
  • bid9012¢
  • bid6711¢
  • bid87510¢
  • bid1067¢
  • bid523¢
  • bid1,6842¢
  • bid3,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Forbes reports that Larry Page has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-LP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 77¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 35 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago12¢1bought no
15d ago15¢100bought yes
15d ago15¢5bought yes
15d ago16¢20bought yes
25d ago11¢4bought yes
1mo ago10¢23bought no
1mo ago20¢19bought yes
1mo ago18¢1bought yes
1mo ago18¢1bought yes
1mo ago16¢1bought yes
1mo ago16¢1bought yes
2mo ago13¢31bought yes
2mo ago12¢4.4bought yes
2mo ago12¢1bought yes
2mo ago10¢1.37bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.