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Pro Football Spread·closes in 2d

Indianapolis wins by over 4.5 points?

YES means Indianapolis wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
66.8k
68.2k lifetime
Open interest
56.9k
Spread
16¢
37 × 22 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 32¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%−5

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 92¢
24h low 3¢24h high 32¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,08023¢
  • ask82622¢
  • ask1,00020¢
  • ask6,75019¢
  • ask21018¢
  • ask25016¢
  • ask1,50011¢
  • ask2010¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid1,6009¢
  • bid1007¢
  • bid66¢
  • bid6,8485¢
  • bid1,2624¢
  • bid6713¢
  • bid15.8k2¢
  • bid3,4641¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Indianapolis wins by more than 4.5 points in the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 14 · 1:05 AM UTC
closes
Sep 23 · 12:20 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 3:20 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP20INDKC-IND5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12s ago12¢3bought yes
1m ago8¢19bought yes
2m ago8¢966bought no
3m ago9¢104bought yes
3m ago9¢14bought yes
4m ago10¢8.03bought yes
4m ago10¢10bought yes
5m ago9¢5bought yes
5m ago9¢31bought no
5m ago9¢1bought no
6m ago9¢308bought no
6m ago10¢31bought no
6m ago10¢1bought no
6m ago11¢214bought yes
7m ago11¢24bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.